BJP will win Gujarat but Congress will dent vote-share: Survey
BJP is set to win big in the Gujarat polls with 113-121 seats in the 182-member Assembly, a survey by ABP-CSDS has predicted.
Congress will get 58-64 seats.
However, the poll's second round in October projected a reduced vote share for the BJP at 47%, down from 59% in its August predictions.
Meanwhile, Congress' projected vote share increased from 29% to 41%.
BJP will win in Gujarat with reduced vote-share
Congress is likely to stay strong in these areas
The survey says Congress is likely to recover in North Gujarat, where it is ahead of the BJP by 7% in terms of votes, and in Saurashtra-Kutch, where both are neck and neck at 42% each.
Interestingly, these regions account for 107 seats.
BJP's lead over Congress in terms of people's voting preference has also fallen from 30% in August to 6% in October.
But BJP will beat Congress in these places
However, Congress seems to be trailing in its traditional stronghold of Central Gujarat: it was behind BJP by 16%. In South Gujarat too, BJP was leading: it is projected to secure 51% votes compared to Congress' 33%.
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