Bihar exit polls 2025: 7 pollsters predict NDA win
What's the story
Majority of pollsters have predicted an easy win for the NDA in the 2025 Bihar Assembly polls. Matrize predicted 147-167 seats for the NDA, People's Insight 133-148 and Peoples Pulse 133-159. Dainik Bhaskar has also predicted an NDA win at 145-160 seats. However, it is worth noting that exit polls are not always accurate, and actual results will only be declared on November 14.
Others
More predict NDA win
P-Marq, like other pollsters, predicted a landslide victory for the NDA. It predicted the Nitish Kumar-led alliance to win 142-162 seats, while the Tejashwi Yadav-led Grand Alliance was predicted to win 80-98 seats. JVC also gave the NDA 135-150 seats. It predicted 88-103 seats for the opposition alliance. Meanwhile, Chanakya Strategies predicted the NDA to win 130-138 seats and the Grand Alliance 100-108 seats.
Prashant Kishore
Disappointing start for Prashant Kishor
If the forecasts come true, Prashant Kishor's new Jan Suraaj Party is looking at a disappointing start. The majority of pollsters projected that the party would win less than five seats. Peoples Pulse predicted the party to win 0-5 seats, Matrize gave it five, while P-Marq predicted 1-4 seats.
Exit
Last prediction
The Bihar Assembly has 243 seats, and polling was held in two phases on November 6 and November 11. A total of 122 seats are needed for a simple majority In the previous 2020 elections, exit polls predicted a narrow win for the RJD-led Mahagathbandhan with 125 seats, but the NDA won with 125 seats against the Mahagathbandhan's 110 seats.