Exit polls: 2024 Haryana and J&K Assembly elections
Exit polls are not always accurate
That's all for today.
It is important to note that exit polls in India are projections based on voter surveys conducted after polling and may not always reflect the final results accurately. They should be considered as indicative trends rather than definitive predictions, as actual outcomes can differ once all votes are counted.
Close contest in J&K, but advantage Congress-NC in the UT
Meanwhile, the exit poll figures indicate a close contest in Jammu and Kashmir. However, three pollsters—Dainik Bhaskar, India Today-C Voter, and Peoples Pulse—are giving the Congress-National Conference alliance an advantage, projecting at least 35 seats for the coalition. The BJP is expected to secure a minimum of 20 seats, while the People's Democratic Party (PDP) is projected to win between four and seven seats. Notably, this election is particularly significant as it marks the first since the abrogation of Article 370 in August 2019, which resulted in the division of the former state into the Union Territories of Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh. The Jammu and Kashmir National Conference and Congress are jointly contesting, while the PDP and BJP are running independently.
Congress likely to make a comeback in Haryana after 10 years, predict exit polls
Let's do a recap.
According to NDTV’s Poll of Polls, the Congress is expected to make a comeback in Haryana, with projections suggesting it will secure between 55 and 62 seats. A party or coalition requires 46 seats to achieve a majority in the 90-member Haryana Assembly. Meanwhile, the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), which was looking for a third consecutive victory in the state, is projected to win between 20 and 32 seats.
'Congress will win 70 seats...': Party candidate from Panchkula, Haryana
#WATCH | On Exit polls, Congress candidate from Panchkula assembly seat Chander Mohan says, "Congress will win 70 seats and BJP will get 17. We will form a government with full majority." pic.twitter.com/GOJ4suGADA
— ANI (@ANI) October 5, 2024
'BJP to emerge as single largest party in J&K...': Party leader
J&K BJP president Ravinder Raina said, "I am confident that BJP will emerge as the single largest party in Jammu & Kashmir on October, 8. J&K's next government will be of BJP."
'Congress-NC alliance will get more seats...': Congress's Tariq Anwar
On J&K exit poll predictions, Congress leader Tariq Anwar said, "There was a possibility of Congress alliance to gain seats and government will be formed. The number of seats that are being shown now I am sure that Congress-NC will get more number of seats."
'Result of 10 years of atrocities...': Wrestler-turned-politician Vinesh Phogat on exit polls
Jist-TIF Research predicts 45-53 seats for Congress in Haryana
Hung assembly in J&K: Local news channel Gulistan
According to an exit poll conducted by the local news channel Gulistan, the BJP is projected to win between 28 and 30 seats in Jammu and Kashmir, with the National Conference also expected to secure 28 to 30 seats. The Congress is predicted to win three to six seats, while the People's Democratic Party (PDP) is anticipated to secure five to seven seats. Other parties are expected to claim between eight and 16 seats.
Congress-NC alliance close to majority mark at 43 seats: NDTV poll of polls
According to the NDTV poll of polls, the Congress-National Conference alliance is projected to secure at least 43 seats, followed by the BJP with 27 seats and the PDP with 8 seats. There are 90 seats in the J&K assembly.
Notably, a poll of polls aggregates data from various exit polls conducted by different agencies.
Times Now also predicts Congress's return to power in Haryana
The Times Now exit polls project that Congress will secure between 50 and 64 seats in Haryana, indicating a likely strong comeback for the party in the state after a decade.
Meanwhile, News 24 has predicted 55-62 seats for the Congress.
Watch: While exit poll results trickle in, Haryana CM offers prayers at Kurukshetra
VIDEO | Haryana CM Nayab Singh Saini (@NayabSainiBJP) offers prayers at Jyotisar Temple in Kurukshetra.
— Press Trust of India (@PTI_News) October 5, 2024
(Full video available on PTI Videos - https://t.co/n147TvrpG7) pic.twitter.com/5GT0rRtgOl
Three pollsters predict advantage Congress-NC alliance in J&K
Let's do a quick recap of exit poll predictions for 2024 Jammu and Kashmir assembly elections.
Three pollsters—Dainik Bhaskar, India Today-C Voter, and Peoples Pulse—are predicting an advantage for the National Conference-Congress alliance, projecting a minimum of 35 seats for the coalition. The BJP is expected to follow with at least 20 seats, while the PDP is projected to secure between 4 and 7 seats.
Dhruv Research also predicts Congress majority in Haryana
According to the Dhruv Research exit polls, the Congress is projected to secure between 50 and 64 seats in Haryana's 90-seat assembly, surpassing the majority mark of 46. The BJP is anticipated to win 22 to 32 seats, while the AAP, INLD, and JJP are expected to have minimal impact, with other parties likely to claim 2 to 8 seats.
Two more polls predict Congress victory in Haryana
The latest exit polls from Datansh and Red Mike project a significant lead for the Congress in Haryana, with numbers suggesting the party will secure between 50 and 55 seats. Meanwhile, the BJP is expected to trail behind, with predictions of winning 20 to 25 seats.
'Thanks to people...': Congress's Ashok Tanwar on exit polls' prediction
"In Haryana, Congress will win around 55-65 seats. I want to thank the people of the state," said Congress leader Ashok Tanwar on exit poll predictions for Haryana and Jammu and Kashmir.
To recall, just days before the Haryana assembly elections, former Lok Sabha MP Tanwar joined the Congress.
Tanwar, who had previously joined the BJP ahead of the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, made the switch in the presence of Rahul Gandhi, the Leader of the Opposition in Lok Sabha. His decision came as both a surprise and a setback for the BJP. Interestingly, his switch came just hours after he had made a social media post in support of a BJP candidate.
'We'll win 65 plus-minus seats...': Bhupinder Singh Hooda on Haryana exit poll predictions
BJP to win big in Jammu region: C-voter polls
The India Today-C Voter pollster predicts that the BJP will achieve the highest vote share in the Jammu region, estimated at 41%, with projections of winning 27 to 31 seats. The NC-Congress alliance is expected to follow with a 37% vote share, translating to 11 to 15 seats, while the PDP is projected to secure a 4% vote share, potentially winning 0 to 2 seats.
There are 43 seats in the Jammu region of the erstwhile state.
Republic Bharat-Matrize predicts Congress win in Haryana
The Republic Bharat-Matrize exit poll projects that the Congress will secure between 55 and 62 seats in Haryana, while the BJP is expected to win between 18 and 24 seats.
Dainik Bhaskar gives advantage to NC-Congress alliance in J&K
After Peoples Pulse, the Dainik Bhaskar pollster has also indicated an advantage for the National Conference-Congress alliance, projecting them to win between 35 and 40 seats. The BJP is expected to secure 20 to 25 seats, while the People's Democratic Party (PDP) is anticipated to win 4 to 7 seats.