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'Pentagon Pizza Index' spikes, hints possible US strike on Iran
The 'Pentagon Pizza Index theory dates back to the Cold War

'Pentagon Pizza Index' spikes, hints possible US strike on Iran

Feb 23, 2026
03:09 pm

What's the story

The "Pentagon Pizza Index" has become a topic of discussion amid rising tensions between the United States and Iran. The index, which tracks pizza orders around the Pentagon, is believed to indicate possible military action when there's a spike in orders. This theory dates back to the Cold War era, when it was observed that increased pizza deliveries were seen as a sign of US intelligence preparations for crises.

Military escalation

Transport aircraft movements raise speculation of military action

Recent reports of C-17 Globemaster transport aircraft heading to the Middle East have intensified speculation about possible US action against Iran. Flight tracking data indicates at least nine such aircraft are en route, each capable of carrying up to 77 tons of cargo. In addition to these movements, more than 100 transport aircraft have been repositioned within 48 hours, and dozens of aerial refueling tankers have been redeployed.

Naval movements

Carrier's location and Trump's consideration of strikes

The USS Gerald R Ford aircraft carrier was last reported transiting through Gibraltar on February 20, adding to the military buildup in the region. President Donald Trump has also been considering limited strikes against Iran, although no formal decision has been announced. The White House and Pentagon have not confirmed any specific plans for military action at this time.

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Pizza theory

Pizza report notes increased orders near Pentagon, CIA

In recent times, once again, the "Pentagon Pizza Report" has noted above-average traffic at pizzerias near government facilities like the Pentagon and CIA headquarters. However, officials have never confirmed a connection between pizza delivery patterns and military planning. The theory remains speculative with no verified evidence linking pizza sales to military decisions.

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