AI will create more jobs than it displaces: Gartner
What's the story
A recent report by Gartner has predicted that artificial intelligence (AI) will create more jobs than it displaces by 2030. The global advisory firm, which specializes in technology and business insights, estimates that AI will generate 10.6 million new jobs while eliminating 8.9 million positions during this period. This would result in a net increase of about 1.7 million jobs globally.
Sectoral analysis
Sector-specific insights
The Gartner report also delves into the sector-specific impact of AI on jobs.
It predicts that asset-intensive industries will create 6.4 million new jobs while eliminating 6 million by 2030.
The technology sector is expected to see a net gain as well, with an estimated creation of 1.9 million jobs against a loss of about 0.4 million during this period.
Public sector impact
Public sector challenges
Unlike other sectors, the public sector is likely to witness more job losses than gains due to AI.
Gartner predicts that by 2030, around 0.9 million jobs could be lost in this industry group against an estimated gain of about 0.4 million positions.
This projection highlights the unique challenges and opportunities AI presents for different sectors of the economy.
Transformation
Transformation over displacement
The impact of AI on employment is not just about job creation and displacement, but also transformation.
Helen Poitevin, Distinguished VP Analyst at Gartner, said organizations that have advanced in AI adoption are increasingly viewing the technology as a way to reinvent operations rather than just replace human workers.
She added that businesses are looking to rebalance workforce capabilities and technology to stay competitive.
Hiring delays
The issue of delayed hiring
John Lovelock, Distinguished VP Analyst and Chief of Research at Gartner, raised another issue: delayed hiring.
He said business and IT executives have deferred the creation of 1.3 million positions in 2026 as they assessed AI's potential.
By 2030, Gartner estimates that five million people could face delayed hiring due to this trend.
Lovelock clarified that these deferred jobs are not lost jobs but positions companies chose not to create initially.