IMF lifts India growth to 6.5% as inflation risk rises

India Apr 15, 2026

India's economy is holding up well even with the ongoing West Asia conflict.
The IMF just bumped up India's growth forecast for this year to 6.5%, crediting strong economic momentum and a boost from lower US tariffs on exports.
Still, there's a heads-up: food prices are pushing inflation higher, possibly reaching 4.7%.

World Bank raises India outlook

S&P projected GDP growth under oil-price scenarios, while the World Bank also raised its growth outlook for India, highlighting solid domestic demand and steady exports.
But S&P flagged some risks, especially if oil prices spike, which could hit sectors like chemicals, refining, and airlines among the most exposed sectors.