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    Home / News / World News / Global COVID-19 death toll may be 3 times higher
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    Global COVID-19 death toll may be 3 times higher
    The Lancet study has found huge disparity in the global COVID-19 death toll.

    Global COVID-19 death toll may be 3 times higher

    By Manzoor-ul-Hassan
    Mar 11, 2022
    04:48 pm

    What's the story

    The COVID-19 epidemic may have killed 18.2 million people worldwide, more than three times the reported deaths, according to a report in The Lancet medical journal.

    There is a huge disparity in the death toll recorded by different government sources, the study revealed.

    It claimed that the figures mentioned in the study represent a "better approximation" of the real worldwide fatality count until 2021.

    Context

    Why does this story matter?

    A section of the media has accused governments all over the world of concealing the true COVID-19 deaths.

    Scientists, however, stated that discrepancies between official counts and researchers' estimations might be due to a lack of testing, difficulties in reporting, or an inability to obtain healthcare owing to the pandemic's disruption of services.

    This disparity is greatest in South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa.

    Quote

    COVID-19 impact more devastating than official projection: Expert author

    The study is based on "excess fatalities," which the authors believe, were caused directly or indirectly by the pandemic.

    These are derived by comparing the number of fatalities documented from all causes to the number of deaths predicted based on prior patterns.

    "The mortality impact from the pandemic has been more devastating than documented by official statistics," The Guardian quoted a co-author as saying.

    Sample size

    Study covers 74 countries, territories

    The data of mortality from all causes has been gathered by the team in 74 nations and territories.

    For nations that do not publish such statistics, it employed a statistical model to predict death rates.

    While the number of documented deaths from the virus is 5.9 million between January 1, 2020, and December 31, 2021, the global excess deaths might have been 18.2 million.

    Response

    Study to help compare global pandemic response

    The study claims that the findings will help researchers analyze the responses of different countries to the virus.

    Notably, the highest mortality was reported in Andean Latin America (512 deaths per 100,000 population), eastern Europe (345 deaths per 100,000), central Europe (316 deaths per 100,000), southern Sub-Saharan Africa (309 deaths per 100,000), and central Latin America (274 deaths per 100,000), the Nature reported.

    Death rate

    Excess global death rate

    The global all-age rate of excess mortality due to COVID-19 was 120.2 deaths per 100,000 of the population, and the excess mortality rate exceeded 300 deaths per 100,000 of the population in 21 countries, said the study in The Lancet.

    South Asia (5.3 million), North Africa and the Middle East (1.7 million), and eastern Europe (1.4 million) had the highest excess deaths, it added.

    Data

    Country-wise highest excess mortality rates

    The five highest estimated excess mortality rates per 100,000 people were seen in Bolivia (734.9), Bulgaria (647.3), Eswatini (634.9), North Macedonia (583.6), and Lesotho (562.9).

    India

    India witnessed highest extra fatalities

    According to the statistics, India witnessed the highest number of extra fatalities owing to COVID-19 (4.07 million) than any other country.

    India was followed by the United States (1.13 million), Russia (1.07 million), Mexico (7,98,000), Brazil (7,92,000), Indonesia (7,36,000), and Pakistan (6,64,000).

    The report's predicted extra COVID-19 fatalities (1,63,000 to 1,74,000) for the UK were similar to the published total of 1,73,000.

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