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Home / News / World News / Turns out, people don't find human extinction uniquely tragic
  • World

    Turns out, people don't find human extinction uniquely tragic

    Shubham Sharma
    Written by
    Shubham Sharma
    Twitter
    Last updated on Nov 11, 2019, 12:44 pm
    Turns out, people don't find human extinction uniquely tragic
  • The scenario of humanity going extinct (no matter how) sounds both chilling and scary.

    However, if a new study is anything to go by, humans don't consider the possibility of mankind extinction as uniquely tragic.

    They think a more chilling scenario would be a mass catastrophe, where over half of life would die and the rest would survive.

    Here's more about it.

  • In this article
    Likelihood of human extinction by natural causes People asked to rank different scenarios from best to worst However, they found mass catastrophe more tragic than extinction Why didn't people consider extinction uniquely tragic Now, this would have a lot of impact
  • Possibility

    Likelihood of human extinction by natural causes

    Likelihood of human extinction by natural causes
  • Though we don't know when what could happen, Oxford scientists have estimated that the likelihood of human extinction by natural causes in any given year is one in 14,000.

    Now, this is pretty scary as it just considers the possibility of natural calamities, like volcanic eruptions and asteroid impacts, and not human-driven catastrophes - nuclear or biological warfare - that seem even more likely.

  • Study

    People asked to rank different scenarios from best to worst

  • Just recently, a team from Oxford surveyed over 2,500 people and asked them to rank three possible scenarios from best to worst - no catastrophe, a catastrophe wiping out 80% of all humans, and a catastrophe leading to human extinction.

    As one would've expected, the participants deemed no catastrophe as the best and complete extinction as the worst situation.

  • Opinion

    However, they found mass catastrophe more tragic than extinction

    However, they found mass catastrophe more tragic than extinction
  • While the participants deemed extinction as the worst situation, their answer changed when the researchers asked to think about the difference between the impact of each case.

    In this case, most of the participants claimed that a mass catastrophe leading to the end of 80% of human life would be more tragic and bothering than the complete extinction of humans.

  • Reason

    Why didn't people consider extinction uniquely tragic

  • The researchers claimed participants considered mass catastrophe more tragic as they seemed more focused on the loss of lives and how that might affect those left behind rather than complete loss of life.

    The only time they considered extinction uniquely bad was when the researchers claimed that humanity would miss out on a future that would be better than today in every conceivable way.

  • Takeaway

    Now, this would have a lot of impact

    Now, this would have a lot of impact
  • The fact that humans are more likely to care about complete extinction when there's a possibility of a better future could play a critical role in making sure we don't go down the path of self-destruction.

    We can't control when the next asteroid hits Earth, but nuclear/chemical warfare is still in the hands of humans and how we deal with them.

  • Oxford
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