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Millions of children at risk due to declining vaccination: Study 
The study is the largest of its kind and used over 1,000 data sources

Millions of children at risk due to declining vaccination: Study 

Jun 25, 2025
08:24 pm

What's the story

A groundbreaking study published in The Lancet has revealed a worrying trend in global vaccination rates. The research, led by the University of Washington in Seattle, highlights that millions of children are now at risk of preventable diseases due to stalled or declining vaccine coverage. The study is the largest of its kind and used over 1,000 data sources to provide updated estimates on routine childhood vaccination coverage from 1980 to 2023 across 204 countries and territories.

Stalled progress

Vaccination progress has either stalled or reversed in many countries

The study found that since 2010, vaccination progress has either stalled or reversed in many countries amid persistent health inequalities and rising levels of misinformation and hesitancy. Measles vaccination rates have declined in 100 of 204 countries, while coverage for basic vaccinations has dropped in 21 of 36 high-income countries. Notable declines were observed in France, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the United States.

Key factors

Misinformation and hesitancy are major factors behind this decline

The study's senior author, Dr. Jonathan Mosser, emphasized that despite monumental efforts over the past 50 years, large numbers of children remain under- and unvaccinated. He said, "Routine childhood vaccinations are among the most powerful and cost-effective public health interventions available, but persistent global inequalities, challenges from the Covid pandemic, and the growth of vaccine misinformation and hesitancy have all contributed to faltering immunization progress." These trends increase the risk of outbreaks of vaccine-preventable diseases, including measles, polio and diphtheria.

Outbreak threat

Outbreaks of vaccine-preventable diseases are a growing global risk

The study warns that vaccine-preventable disease outbreaks are a growing global risk. Afghanistan and Pakistan have seen an increase in wild-type polio cases, while Papua New Guinea is experiencing a polio outbreak with less than half of its population immunized. In Europe, measles infections almost tenfold increased in 2024. The United States also witnessed over 1,000 confirmed cases of measles across 30 states by May 2025—more than the total number of cases reported in all of 2024.

Call to action

Urgent action needed to reverse these trends

The study's lead author, Dr. Emily Haeuser, stressed the need for urgent action to reverse these trends and meet global immunization targets by 2030. She called for focused efforts on tackling vaccine misinformation and hesitancy. Helen Bedford from University College London also emphasized that while vaccination is a powerful tool for protecting child health, its continued success depends on sustained investment, equity, and public trust.